From Goldy Derby
According to our 25 Oscar experts from major media outlets, the tightest race at this year’s Academy Awards is Best Supporting Actress where two TV favorites are vying for their first nominations. Laurie Metcalf, who won Best Comedy Supporting Actress at the Emmys three years running for “Roseanne” beginning in 1992, is in first for her scene-stealing turn as a hardworking nurse at odds with her headstrong daughter (Saoirse Ronan) in “Lady Bird.” This recent Tony Awards champ now has the backing of 13 experts, which translates into leading odds of 5/2.
Seven-time Emmy champ Allison Janney (two of those wins were for her current featured role on the comedy “Mom”) is a strong contender for a showy part in “I, Tonya” as the foul-mouthed, chain-smoking mother of disgraced Olympic hopeful Tonya Harding (Margot Robbie). She has the votes of nine experts, which equals odds of 10/3.
So will it be?
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 208 | March 5, 2018 5:25 AM |
I want Janney to win, but it is looking like this is Metcalf's award.
| by Anonymous | reply 1 | December 16, 2017 4:18 PM |
Saoirse will win for leading role. The academy loves young, pretty up and comers.
| by Anonymous | reply 2 | December 16, 2017 4:31 PM |
Janney's performance is bigger and brassier, while Metcalf does a lot of subtle work. I love both performances, and personally would prefer Janney (who gets a meaty role and goes turbo on it), but I won't mind Metcalf winning.
| by Anonymous | reply 3 | December 16, 2017 5:03 PM |
This would be a great time for a rare tie.
| by Anonymous | reply 4 | December 16, 2017 5:07 PM |
All Academy members vote for the acting awards. Meaning the behind the scenes crew, not just actors. So this will come down to who is more liked in the industry, Janney or Metcalf.
Whoever that is, will win.
| by Anonymous | reply 5 | December 16, 2017 5:08 PM |
What is Metcalfe reputation in the industry? As favorable as Janney's?
| by Anonymous | reply 6 | December 16, 2017 5:14 PM |
This is Metcalf’s year. A Tony Award in June, an Oscar in February and a sure Emmy for the Roseanne reboot. No other actress save for Liza has done that. She is unstoppable and beloved by her fellow actors.
| by Anonymous | reply 7 | December 16, 2017 5:24 PM |
[quote] beloved by her fellow actors.
and Allison Janney has 7 Emmys on her shelf.
| by Anonymous | reply 8 | December 16, 2017 5:26 PM |
Unfortunately their votes will cancel each other out. And an underdog will win. Like that chick in Network.
| by Anonymous | reply 9 | December 16, 2017 5:34 PM |
[quote] Unfortunately their votes will cancel each other out. And an underdog will win. Like that chick in Network.
Like Winona Ryder & Rosie Perez in 1994 (Anna Paquin won)
and Shohreh Aghdashloo and Patricia Clarkson in 2004 (Renee Zellweger won)
| by Anonymous | reply 11 | December 16, 2017 5:39 PM |
R10 it was actually good. The screen pops whenever Metcalf is on screen and Ronan does a flawless American accent. Metcalf I think will win . Momentum seems to be building for her with NBR and LA film critics awards.
| by Anonymous | reply 12 | December 16, 2017 5:39 PM |
I actually know Laurie. I think she is one of the most talented actresses on the planet. The only thing? I think Janney is too! Can there be a tie?
| by Anonymous | reply 13 | December 16, 2017 6:10 PM |
I can't decide! I love them both, as every self-respecting gay man should.
| by Anonymous | reply 14 | December 16, 2017 6:33 PM |
It will come down to Mary J and Laurie.
| by Anonymous | reply 15 | December 16, 2017 6:35 PM |
[quote] and a sure Emmy for the Roseanne reboot.
Oh, [italic]hon.[/italic]
| by Anonymous | reply 16 | December 16, 2017 6:36 PM |
Excuse me, R7, but I had a particularly good run myself one year.
| by Anonymous | reply 17 | December 16, 2017 6:40 PM |
Sick of Janney winning everything, though I confess I never watched Mom or The West Wing. I'm pretty much familiar with her only because of her awards show presence. But I hate when people tie up categories for years on end and no one else gets a chance (Candace Bergen, Jeffrey Tambor, Julia Louis Drefus, you get the picture). Having said that, though, I always loved and adored Laurie, so I'm rooting for her big time.
| by Anonymous | reply 18 | December 16, 2017 6:40 PM |
R18 one could say Metcalf did that herself in the 90s winning three Emmys for Roseanne
| by Anonymous | reply 19 | December 16, 2017 6:44 PM |
I love Janney, but she's been over rewarded for her work on the West Wing. Mom is fucking awful. Janney should be embarrassed to be a part of that. Playing white trash is not really a stretch for her - she's done multiple variations of it over the years.
| by Anonymous | reply 20 | December 16, 2017 6:49 PM |
LM winning will be a great thing, as would AJ winning. But as others have said, Janney has like 35 Emmys and doesn't need the honor, while Metcalfe has been doing great work for decades without much recognition
| by Anonymous | reply 21 | December 16, 2017 6:56 PM |
R11, are you kidding? Renee Zellweger was the undeniable front runner for “Cold Mountain” the entire season. She was never going to win the top critics’ prizes, but was always a lock for the Oscar.
And the Perez/Ryder race wasn’t one where votes canceled each other out (and that phrase is a mostly meaningless one). The two front runners were in weaker movies than Paquin, so she prevailed in what was likely a very close race. It’s not like Ryder and Perez appealed to a similar demographic.
| by Anonymous | reply 22 | December 16, 2017 7:04 PM |
She'll always be Loretta to me, and I love that she loves the role too. I think somebody here posted about reciting her lines from [italic]Drop Dead Gorgeous[/italic] with a friend at the airport and Allison coming over and introducing herself.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 23 | December 16, 2017 7:04 PM |
Agree r13 & r14. They're both tremendously talented and good in everything they do, but I think I'm Team Metcalf on this one.
| by Anonymous | reply 24 | December 16, 2017 7:27 PM |
Don't count out Tiffany Haddish in Girls Trip as well. She was the surprise NY film critics awards winner who sparked a lot of controversy when she was snubbed for a Golden Globe.
Has Janney even won any critics awards so far? To be honest, I can't imagine the Academy giving out an Oscar to a movie about Tonya Hardin.
| by Anonymous | reply 25 | December 16, 2017 7:31 PM |
Count out Tiffany Haddish. If the very populist Screen Actors Guild wouldn’t go for her, the Oscars almost certainly won’t.
Her win with the NY critics was very much a “let’s be wacky!” choice just like when they chose Cameron Diaz for “There’s Something About Mary.”
| by Anonymous | reply 26 | December 16, 2017 7:36 PM |
I've never seen metcalf turn in a bad performance. I'm a fan.
| by Anonymous | reply 27 | December 16, 2017 7:42 PM |
[quote] And the Perez/Ryder race wasn’t one where votes canceled each other out (and that phrase is a mostly meaningless one).
Google the term "Vote Split"
| by Anonymous | reply 28 | December 16, 2017 7:48 PM |
[quote] Unfortunately their votes will cancel each other out. And an underdog will win. Like that chick in Network... Like Winona Ryder & Rosie Perez in 1994 (Anna Paquin won) and Shohreh Aghdashloo and Patricia Clarkson in 2004 (Renee Zellweger won)
Paquin won because Holly Hunter won and they were a team. "The Piano" was a crossover art house hit and was nominated for 8 Oscars and won 3.
And Rene Zellweger won to make up for her loss the year before with "Chicago".
| by Anonymous | reply 29 | December 16, 2017 7:52 PM |
R26 writes,
[quote]Count out Tiffany Haddish. If the very populist Screen Actors Guild wouldn’t go for her, the Oscars almost certainly won’t.
Her win with the NY critics was very much a “let’s be wacky!” choice just like when they chose Cameron Diaz for “There’s Something About Mary.”[/quote]
Should the New York Film Critics Circle be restructured so that the whack jobs are ousted and replaced by serious critics?
| by Anonymous | reply 30 | December 16, 2017 8:03 PM |
R26 writes,
[quote]Count out Tiffany Haddish. If the very populist Screen Actors Guild wouldn’t go for her, the Oscars almost certainly won’t. | Her win with the NY critics was very much a “let’s be wacky!” choice just like when they chose Cameron Diaz for “There’s Something About Mary.”
Should the New York Film Critics Circle be restructured so that the whack jobs are ousted and replaced by serious critics?
| by Anonymous | reply 31 | December 16, 2017 8:03 PM |
R28, What vote did they split? What blocs of Oscar voters did Perez and Ryder share? That’s why the term is usually meaningless. If they were in the same film, or both gave similar style of performances you’d have a case, but there is almost nothing similar about Rosie Perez and Winona Ryder, the films they did or the type of performances they gave.
There is almost nothing in common between Rosie Perez in “Fearless” and Winona Ryder in “The Age of Innocence” other than they both got nominated in the same category.
| by Anonymous | reply 32 | December 16, 2017 8:13 PM |
Metcalf will win. It's about time.
| by Anonymous | reply 33 | December 16, 2017 8:27 PM |
[quote]Count out Tiffany Haddish. If the very populist Screen Actors Guild wouldn’t go for her, the Oscars almost certainly won’t.
I haven't seen Haddish's film but heard she is laugh out loud funny. Melissa McCarthy shit in a sink and got an Oscar nomination.
| by Anonymous | reply 34 | December 16, 2017 10:59 PM |
I didn't remember that Laurie Metcalf was nominated and won a few times for "Roseanne." But good for her, she was terrific in it and improved every scene she was part of. I'll be rooting for her for the Globes and Oscars.
| by Anonymous | reply 35 | December 18, 2017 5:50 PM |
[quote] What vote did they split?
Academy members who voted for either Ryder or Perez
| by Anonymous | reply 36 | December 18, 2017 5:52 PM |
[quote] Paquin won because Holly Hunter won and they were a team. "The Piano" was a crossover art house hit and was nominated for 8 Oscars and won 3.
Ryder and Perez were the heavy favorites and scooped up the lion share of pre-Oscar awards.
Rosie won the LA Film Critics Award for Fearless
While Winona won the National Board of Review and Golden Globe for Age of Innocence
| by Anonymous | reply 38 | December 18, 2017 5:55 PM |
Allison Janney because she's way overdue, and the performance is actually deserving. She's an actor's actor who never gives a bad performance.
| by Anonymous | reply 39 | December 18, 2017 5:59 PM |
Same can be said for
Laurie Metcalf because she's way overdue, and the performance is actually deserving. She's an actor's actor who never gives a bad performance.
| by Anonymous | reply 40 | December 18, 2017 6:00 PM |
Come to think of it, Janney and Metcalf would be great together in the right project. It could be a "Thelma and Louise" or a "Whatever Happened to Baby Jane" scenario, but with a good script it could be terrific.
| by Anonymous | reply 41 | December 18, 2017 6:24 PM |
]quote] Ryder and Perez were the heavy favorites and scooped up the lion share of pre-Oscar awards. Rosie won the LA Film Critics Award for Fearless... While Winona won the National Board of Review and Golden Globe for Age of Innocence
Those are critics awards. Critics don't vote for The Oscars. It wasn't like today that by the time the Oscars come around we already know the winners.
| by Anonymous | reply 42 | December 18, 2017 6:30 PM |
[quote] I haven't seen Haddish's film but heard she is laugh out loud funny. Melissa McCarthy shit in a sink and got an Oscar nomination.
McCarthy created a character in Bridesmaids. Malcolm Lee basically said to Haddish, "The script is shit. When I turn on the camera, you do you."
| by Anonymous | reply 43 | December 19, 2017 12:37 AM |
[quote]Unfortunately their votes will cancel each other out. And an underdog will win. Like that chick in Network.
Is there a nominally talented, cute young actress playing a whore this year? Kind-hearted hooker roles always win.
| by Anonymous | reply 44 | December 19, 2017 12:47 AM |
Aren't they the same person?
| by Anonymous | reply 45 | December 19, 2017 12:50 AM |
"This is Metcalf’s year. A Tony Award in June, an Oscar in February and a sure Emmy for the Roseanne reboot."
Honey, the "Roseanne reboot" hasn't even happened yet. It might well turn out to be a total disaster. So to predict a "sure Emmy" for Metcalf is mere wishful thinking on your part, silly.
| by Anonymous | reply 46 | December 19, 2017 12:51 AM |
Pacquin won dor "The Piano" won because she had the Miramax machine behind her.
| by Anonymous | reply 47 | December 19, 2017 1:23 AM |
Do both of these ladies swim in the lady pond?
| by Anonymous | reply 48 | December 19, 2017 1:46 AM |
Laurie deserves an EGOT for not only putting up with "Roseanne" for all those years, but also the months she spent with Bruce Willis in "Misery" on Broadway. He was the most horrific stage actor I have seen.
| by Anonymous | reply 49 | December 19, 2017 1:53 AM |
R49 - Well then Cybill deserves an Emmy for Moonlighting.
| by Anonymous | reply 50 | December 19, 2017 2:02 AM |
Laurie should've gotten an Emmy for "Getting On."
| by Anonymous | reply 51 | December 19, 2017 2:03 AM |
No matter who wins of the two well deserved nominated women. MR. Jada Pinkett Smith will not be happy.
| by Anonymous | reply 52 | December 19, 2017 2:23 AM |
[quote]Laurie should've gotten an Emmy for "Getting On."
Truth. Getting On was such a gem.
| by Anonymous | reply 53 | December 19, 2017 2:25 AM |
Trans actress Daniela Vega for "A Fantastic Woman".
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 54 | December 19, 2017 3:55 AM |
Paquin won because she gave an amazing performance
| by Anonymous | reply 55 | December 19, 2017 4:12 AM |
The line “Tureen Of beef” is Oscar worthy in itself.
| by Anonymous | reply 56 | December 19, 2017 5:32 AM |
Metcalf is not a Hollywood film actress the way Janney is, so you have to give the edge to Janney. Janney is very well-liked in Hollywood.
| by Anonymous | reply 58 | December 19, 2017 6:39 PM |
[quote] Trans actress Daniela Vega for "A Fantastic Woman".
Ummm, no.
| by Anonymous | reply 59 | December 19, 2017 6:41 PM |
It’s good, but very depressing. You don’t get the feeling that lady bird will do anything exceptional with her life despite breaking out to New Yawk City! Or that her dad will get another shot at employment and be anything, but bankrupt.
It really captures the oppressiveness of relative poverty - though J don’t see how a two income household with one nurse and one senior programmer is that poor in Sacramento.
| by Anonymous | reply 60 | December 19, 2017 6:52 PM |
Why does Laurie Metcalf look like a down on her luck, never married, elderly trailer mom who takes care of her 5 grandbabies?
| by Anonymous | reply 61 | December 19, 2017 6:56 PM |
Because she’s now 62? She had a cute, yet haggard look even on Roseanne playing someone in her 30s.
| by Anonymous | reply 62 | December 19, 2017 7:39 PM |
Here's a discussion with these two women, and others.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 63 | December 19, 2017 7:48 PM |
Agree about the Hollywood ties and influence argument. Janney is LA-based and has been for years, does both film and TV. Metcalf is mainly known for her television work, although the recent Tony may help in her favor.
The split vote phenom is a real one and could apply here. If so look for Mary J to slip in, if Ampas voters want to reward Mudbound in some fashion.
| by Anonymous | reply 64 | December 19, 2017 7:57 PM |
I would give Metcalf a retroactive Oscar for her scene-stealing work in Desperately Seeking Susan.
| by Anonymous | reply 65 | December 19, 2017 8:24 PM |
I want Laurie to win so badly. I give zero fucks about the other categories. I saw her on Broadway in Misery and she was the only thing saving that show. She is such a gracious, humble talent.
| by Anonymous | reply 66 | December 19, 2017 8:28 PM |
I don't understand the "LA-based"/Hollywood vs outlier argument a few posts back. Janney is primarily known for the tv show Mom these days. She's B- list. It's not like she's Annette Bening and everyone is dying to give her an Oscar. Lady Bird >>>> iTonya and AMPAS will want to reward it somewhere. It's probably not going to win Picture, Director or Best Actress. It has fierce competition in Original Screenplay. Best Supporting Actress is the perfect place to reward the film. Metcalf will win the Patricia Arquette Oscar but she'll actually deserve it. Her face in her last scene will win it for her.
| by Anonymous | reply 67 | December 19, 2017 8:33 PM |
No one cared about "Ed Wood" either. Sometimes a performance stands for itself.
| by Anonymous | reply 68 | December 19, 2017 8:46 PM |
Laurie Metcalf is winning!
| by Anonymous | reply 69 | December 25, 2017 3:29 PM |
Gold Derby - A whopping 15 of our 25 Oscar experts from major media outlets are predicting that Laurie Metcalf will win Best Supporting Actress at this year’s Academy Awards
One thing that might work AGAINST Alison Janney is that she seems to play this type of role over and over again that she can play it in her sleep. Not much of a stretch for her.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 70 | December 25, 2017 3:33 PM |
Both their pussies stink.
| by Anonymous | reply 71 | December 25, 2017 3:44 PM |
Metcalf because Lady Bird is one of the "films of the year" and in addition to her deserving it, the Oscar will be a way to award the film overall. I, TOnya, doesn't have that going for it.
The real question is if Gerwig will get a direction nomination in the year when the spotlight has been shown on ill-treatment of women in Hollywood. I feel if they fail to nominate her there will be a backlash.
| by Anonymous | reply 72 | December 25, 2017 3:47 PM |
Metcalf is also vo starring in Glenda Jackson’s much talked about return to broadway this spring.
| by Anonymous | reply 73 | December 25, 2017 3:57 PM |
Battle of the white trash.
| by Anonymous | reply 74 | December 25, 2017 4:00 PM |
I haven't seen "Ladybird" yet, but I did see "I, Tonya," and Janney was incredible in the role. In fact, the entire cast was phenomenal. "I, Tonya" is probably my favorite film of 2017.
I do love Laurie Metcalf, though - a seriously underrated actress who consistently turns in great performances. I'd be happy to see her win, too.
| by Anonymous | reply 75 | December 25, 2017 4:15 PM |
I, Tonya was total trash. It was an overlong SNL sketch or a slightly better-than-average Lifetime movie. I felt literally nothing when it was over. There was no character development whatsoever, especially with the mother character (Janney). She wore the same expression on her face the entire movie. Yelling, glowering and cursing isn't actually a display of acting technique. If anyone actually gets nominated for awards for this they should thank their lucky stars for the hype machine, not clear space on the mantle for trophies.
In Lady Bird, Metcalf is also playing the tough, overbearing mother role. But her character actually changes and is far, far better written than anything in I, Tonya. To me, there is no comparison in the two performances. Metcalf is superior, just as Robbie can't hold a candle to Ronan.
| by Anonymous | reply 76 | December 28, 2017 6:04 AM |
I saw I, Tonya at TIFF and thought Janney was a lock for Best Supporting Actress.
But Metcalf's work is just incredible. It's much more subtle and I've never seen her play a role like this before.
I was rooting for Janney but after seeing Metcalf's performance, there is no contest.
| by Anonymous | reply 77 | January 9, 2018 8:07 AM |
I love them both but it looks likes its going to Janney this time if we take our lead from the GGs.
| by Anonymous | reply 78 | January 9, 2018 9:19 AM |
I have seen both and thought they were both great, but I have to give the edge to Metcalf who just does a lot more in Lady Bird.
Honestly though, after having seen Phantom Thread last night, I don’t understand how Lesley Manville is not wiping the proverbial floor with both of them. Her Cyril Woodcock is an incredible creation and she easily gives the best supporting performance by an actress this year.
| by Anonymous | reply 80 | January 11, 2018 3:44 PM |
Allison Janney is the one to beat. She and Laurie Metcalf have nearly identical narratives (veteran character actress seeks moment in the sun), but Janney's is stronger because she is more connected to the film world. She has appeared in 61 films to Metcalf's 27, and has appeared in several BP nominees over the years (American Beauty, The Hours, The Help). She will be the more recognizable name to voters, and that always helps.
Janney is also campaigning more and has the flashier, physically transformative role. Metcalf dominated with the critics, but I predict Janney to continue her success with the televised awards all the way up to the Oscars.
| by Anonymous | reply 81 | January 11, 2018 5:31 PM |
Laurie will rip Allison's wig off.
| by Anonymous | reply 82 | January 16, 2018 11:39 PM |
[quote]Honestly though, after having seen Phantom Thread last night, I don’t understand how Lesley Manville is not wiping the proverbial floor with both of them. Her Cyril Woodcock is an incredible creation and she easily gives the best supporting performance by an actress this year.
Your'e silly.
| by Anonymous | reply 83 | January 16, 2018 11:45 PM |
R80, I came to post that exactly. The Oscar should go to Lesley Manville. Best supporting performance of the year.
| by Anonymous | reply 84 | January 16, 2018 11:51 PM |
I hope Allison Janney wins. She was phenomenal in I, Tonya.
| by Anonymous | reply 85 | January 16, 2018 11:53 PM |
Allison Janney is very effectuve but there wasn’t a moment in I, Tonya where I didn’t see her “acting.” Laurie Metcalfe on the other hand lived in her performance. Simple honesty. No craft or technique was visible which is why hers is the superior performance. I trust I have now put this debate to rest.
| by Anonymous | reply 86 | January 16, 2018 11:59 PM |
R86, Simple honesty gets you shit come awards season. Oscar voters want to see you sweat.
Plus, Janney has been very active on the campaign trail. Tom O'Neill from Gold Derby says he sees her a few times a week at industry gatherings, whereas he has never seen Laurie Metcalf (who has young kids and is rehearsing a play) in person.
| by Anonymous | reply 87 | January 17, 2018 1:51 AM |
Metcalf's performance is the one that has stayed with me. Janney's is impressive in the moment because it's so showy but it doesn't linger.
But interesting that there are a number of similarities - both are overbearing mothers who cut down their children; both have had difficult upbringings and come from poor backgrounds; both never seem to truly resolve their differences with their daughters; both seem to resent their daughters.
There are just more layers to Metcalf's performance. Like the scene where she is talking to Lady Bird's priest shows a whole side to her we haven't really seen, a much more compassionate person. She can be kind and supportive, yet she isn't really either of those things with her daughter.
| by Anonymous | reply 88 | January 17, 2018 3:02 AM |
Laurie Metcalf was good, but she wasn't great. Her role didn't stand out. It was just meh.
Allison Janney on the other hand. I couldn't get enough of her. Perfect casting.
| by Anonymous | reply 89 | January 22, 2018 6:57 AM |
Allison Janney has won everything she's been nominated for. I think she's clearly the frontrunner now.
| by Anonymous | reply 90 | January 22, 2018 8:48 AM |
Julia Roberts was completely shut out for whatever it was she did this year.
| by Anonymous | reply 91 | January 22, 2018 4:48 PM |
Lady Bird quickly outstayed its welcome.
| by Anonymous | reply 92 | January 22, 2018 5:00 PM |
I am hoping for the rarest of Oscar events: The Tie. This time it would be valid.
| by Anonymous | reply 93 | January 22, 2018 5:10 PM |
Well, I was proven right. I told all of you that Janney was a lock for award season, due to her popularity in Hollywood and the feeling that she was long overdue. She's considered an actor's actor.
| by Anonymous | reply 94 | January 22, 2018 5:20 PM |
Allison Janney will win, but hopefully she will bring her good friend Laurie Metcalfe up on stage with her, just like when she won the Emmy.....
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 95 | January 22, 2018 5:39 PM |
Will Janney finally come out when she accepts her Oscar?
| by Anonymous | reply 96 | January 22, 2018 6:10 PM |
Well she did remark that her greatest screen kiss was with Meryl in The Hours.
| by Anonymous | reply 97 | January 22, 2018 6:17 PM |
[quote]Well, I was proven right. I told all of you that Janney was a lock for award season, due to her popularity in Hollywood and the feeling that she was long overdue. She's considered an actor's actor.
An actor’s actor, unlike that Steppenwolf vet with a five decade career. *rolls eyes* Everything you said about Janney could be said about Metcalf. Janney’s advantage? She’s a better campaigner. That’s it.
| by Anonymous | reply 98 | January 22, 2018 6:18 PM |
Never thought I would side with Mon’Nique
| by Anonymous | reply 99 | January 22, 2018 6:40 PM |
Let the shrews battle it out.
| by Anonymous | reply 100 | January 22, 2018 7:27 PM |
Janney is extremely well liked in Hollywood and she's fairly social whereas Metcalf is liked but shes not much for partying.
Theres no need to trash either of them - both exceptional actors, both fine individuals.
| by Anonymous | reply 101 | January 22, 2018 8:38 PM |
[quote]Well, I was proven right. I told all of you that Janney was a lock for award season, due to her popularity in Hollywood and the feeling that she was long overdue. She's considered an actor's actor.
I was certain too that Janney would win, but mainly because she gave the best performance.
| by Anonymous | reply 103 | January 22, 2018 8:45 PM |
I like that Metcalf is not campaigning heavily. I don't need a Melissa Leo-style campaign (not that Janney is doing that but Janney is much more visible).
Metcalf is also an actor's actor and she is letting the work speak for itself.
It's still not a given that Janney will win. I like that this year's Oscars has a degree of suspense.
| by Anonymous | reply 104 | January 22, 2018 8:49 PM |
Suspense?!?! Please. In the past decade there have been less than a handful of genuine surprises.
| by Anonymous | reply 106 | January 22, 2018 9:21 PM |
Will the Oscars be girlie as well? Honestly, enough already.
| by Anonymous | reply 107 | January 22, 2018 9:27 PM |
Just start giving out gold-plated tampon awards. Jesus fucking christ.
| by Anonymous | reply 108 | January 22, 2018 9:29 PM |
[quote]Will the Oscars be girlie as well? Honestly, enough already.
Wait? Why do you ask that? What have you heard?
| by Anonymous | reply 109 | January 22, 2018 9:30 PM |
[quote]Metcalf is not a Hollywood film actress the way Janney is, so you have to give the edge to Janney. Janney is very well-liked in Hollywood. r58
Janney is a Hollywood fixture and is set to become Judith Light v 2.0
Janney for the win.
| by Anonymous | reply 110 | January 22, 2018 9:44 PM |
I really do think Laurie Metcalf's association with the cunt from hell Roseanne Barr is tainting her. A shame, because she deserves to win.
| by Anonymous | reply 111 | January 23, 2018 2:23 AM |
It's honestly too damn difficult. They're both astounding in their own ways, but I'll echo what someone else said earlier - Metcalf's performance is far less showy than Janney's, but it stays with you. I'm still thinking about that character over a month after I saw the film. I enjoyed Janney the entire time I was watching I, Tonya, but I sort of forgot about her and the film itself when it was through.
| by Anonymous | reply 112 | January 23, 2018 4:10 AM |
Please, give the Oscar to some other bitch.
| by Anonymous | reply 113 | January 23, 2018 4:14 AM |
I could see someone who hasn’t been on the radar yet swooping in with an unexpected nomination and causing a stir tomorrow morning? Back in the ‘80s, this category (in that pre-Internet/Oscar blog/Southeast Main Critics Awards era) used to nominate such out-of-nowhere performances. Think Anne Ramsey in Throw Momma from the Train in ‘87 or Diana Scarwid for the little-seen Inside Moves in ‘80.
| by Anonymous | reply 114 | January 23, 2018 4:32 AM |
No, R9. Just no. Beatrice Straight nabbed the supporting Oscar for NETWORK and she did it on the unassailable merit of her performance. She was a great actress and gave the performance of her life in that film.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 115 | January 23, 2018 5:03 AM |
Janney strikes me as overrated, tiresome, one-note.
And I am beyond sick of her ever so earnest commercials for a rapacious healthcare company -- Kaiser Permanente.
With all the money she's made, she takes money to sugarcoat those greedy pigs.
| by Anonymous | reply 116 | January 23, 2018 5:20 AM |
I agree, r111. I posted the same thing in one of the Roseanne Reboot threads.
| by Anonymous | reply 117 | January 23, 2018 5:39 AM |
Hong Chau will slip in for the win. It will be her Marisa Tomei moment.
| by Anonymous | reply 118 | January 23, 2018 5:47 AM |
No. Marisa Tomei truly came out of nowhere. The nomination came out of nowhere, then the win came out of nowhere.
| by Anonymous | reply 119 | January 23, 2018 6:09 AM |
Hong will not win. Get real please.
| by Anonymous | reply 120 | January 23, 2018 6:10 AM |
R118. She wasn't even nominated.
| by Anonymous | reply 121 | January 23, 2018 2:10 PM |
Neither.
They'll find a way to give it to that 3 Billboards bullshit.
| by Anonymous | reply 122 | January 23, 2018 2:12 PM |
Allison Janney is starting to get on my goddamn nerves. That bug-eyed bitch shows up at every awards show and clodhops away with another award.
| by Anonymous | reply 123 | January 24, 2018 4:51 AM |
Lesley Manville for the win.
| by Anonymous | reply 124 | January 24, 2018 11:50 AM |
Allison all the way. I want nothing to do with Laurie. Let her spend the rest of her life kissing Roseanne's Trump loving ass.
| by Anonymous | reply 125 | January 25, 2018 2:10 AM |
Holy Fuck, r99--that was a disaster of an acceptance speech. Janney seemed deranged. And the other three who didn't go up there must have been saying, "Bitch, we're not going up there as your backup singers."
| by Anonymous | reply 126 | March 2, 2018 10:40 PM |
I really don't care, I just don't care. Jared looks like both of them.
| by Anonymous | reply 127 | March 2, 2018 10:43 PM |
I hope they split the vote and Manville slips in—but barring that I would MUCH rather have Metcalf.
Janney was a cartoon.
| by Anonymous | reply 128 | March 2, 2018 10:58 PM |
Janney was great and deserves an Oscar someday for something. She's never been less than stellar, but Metcalf's performance has left me thinking about it in the months since I saw the film. It's far less big and showy, but it felt real to me.
| by Anonymous | reply 130 | March 2, 2018 11:12 PM |
I saw Tonya last nite. All this talk about Janney giving an incredible performance-and I found her prolix and actressy- not plausible for a second. I was surprised because of all the talk about her acting. Sebastian Stan was the best thing in that movie.
| by Anonymous | reply 131 | March 2, 2018 11:20 PM |
I felt like they were trying to give Janney her Mama Rose role to play, but she's literally in maybe 10-15 minutes of the movie total. That's not enough time to make her character anything but a stereotype of a pushy stage mom from hell. At least Rose had 2 1/2 hrs to show that she's not just a one-note shriek fest (unless you saw Imelda Staunton play her).
| by Anonymous | reply 132 | March 3, 2018 12:15 AM |
100% rooting for Allison Janney.
| by Anonymous | reply 133 | March 3, 2018 1:05 AM |
I was disappointed in the Ladybird, and in the work of both women stars of Ladybird. I love Ronan and Metcalf, but they were one note. The script didn't let either character go anywhere, or back up much of what they complained about. Metcalf is so talented, but she kind of kept going back to the same well over and over in Ladybird, and became tiresome. For Ronan, I don't understand why she continually is cast as these young, hard edged girls when she was so radiant in Brooklyn as a softer leading lady using her own accent. The best performance in Ladybird was really Tracy Letts, who played Ladybird's dad. He was believable was everything the mom said he was - someone who battled depression, maybe somebody who used to drink, but I also really enjoyed his company every time he showed up. Ronan is very instinctual and totally committed, but after seeing her in Brooklyn, in The Crucible on stage, and in this, this is the same as her Crucible performance. I know all her customary choices.
Janny I have seen in a million things and am never ever bored by her. I used to even enjoy watching her as a maid on Guiding Light. Sometimes you need to be a little bigger.
| by Anonymous | reply 134 | March 3, 2018 1:10 AM |
Allison Janney should win the Oscar just for being brave enough to bare her breasts at her age.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 135 | March 3, 2018 1:15 AM |
I aint no fan of either one. but janney has enuf awards already! give one to Metcalf. she ok....I Tonya was a big bummer, to rhapsodize bout her and momma is ridic. they were evil nasty cunts.
| by Anonymous | reply 136 | March 3, 2018 1:23 AM |
Janney should have been nominated for her heartbreaking work in Margaret.
I loved Laurie Metcalf in Lady Bird but I really want Lesley Manville to win it. And I think she could.
| by Anonymous | reply 137 | March 3, 2018 1:24 AM |
Manville's really is an iconic performance. It will stand the test of time. Janney's will be forgotten by September.
| by Anonymous | reply 140 | March 3, 2018 3:51 AM |
Supporting Actress is the one category where there is an upset
| by Anonymous | reply 141 | March 3, 2018 3:59 AM |
Laurie - She's never claimed to be a "Lady Bird" in real life.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 143 | March 3, 2018 4:08 AM |
Janney was fine, but Metcalf's performance was sublime. She is not a scenery chewer - it's real and raw and you feel every emotion. I always think of her as another sitcom actress until I see Metcalf on Broadway or in a role like this one.
| by Anonymous | reply 144 | March 3, 2018 4:29 AM |
AMPAS voters are suckers for real THEATRE actors and Laurie's return to the Dollhouse was lauded from coast to coast.
While Lady Bird was boring, tedious and sucked ass, Laurie found a willing partner to showcase her talents.
Award to Metcalf.
| by Anonymous | reply 145 | March 3, 2018 4:58 AM |
Janney is very good in I, Tonya. Is it an Oscar-caliber performance? Sure. Why not? She nails every moment and the audience is with her at every turn. Is her performance better than Laurie Metcalf's? No. Laurie's is better than Allison's.
Unfortunately, the Academy has structured all these silly little competitions. Just honor exceptional work. But then the broadcast would be about exceptional work, not about marketing movies.
| by Anonymous | reply 146 | March 3, 2018 4:58 AM |
Janney's role, for as little time she is actually on screen, reminds me of the Best Actor win for Geoffrey Rush in Shine. Noah Taylor, as teenager David Helfgott, acted his heart out for most of the movie, Rush comes in for the last 30 minutes, and wins the award that should have gone to Helfgott.
Award to Janney.
| by Anonymous | reply 147 | March 3, 2018 5:04 AM |
I c-a-n-n-o-t wait for the moment Janney thanks her figure skating coach for giving her the belief that her dream will happen!
| by Anonymous | reply 148 | March 3, 2018 5:25 AM |
Allison Janney's performance was a caricature. Very cartoonish. I was unimpressed.
Laurie Metcalf gave a very raw and realistic performance. The performance was not as loud and showy as Janney's, but Metcalf had me thinking about her character for days after.
I hope Laurie Metcalf wins the Oscar.
| by Anonymous | reply 149 | March 3, 2018 5:48 AM |
r131, you found Janney "prolix"?
prolix (adjective)--(of speech or writing) using or containing too many words; tediously lengthy.
| by Anonymous | reply 150 | March 3, 2018 11:42 AM |
who. cares. And I like Allison Janney. Bur really, what a waste of time this is.
| by Anonymous | reply 151 | March 3, 2018 11:43 AM |
Manville is not going to win--Jesus Christ, keep up. It will be either Janney or Metcalf. I could give a shit which one .
| by Anonymous | reply 152 | March 3, 2018 11:44 AM |
Alison Janney is the hottest ugliest woman.
| by Anonymous | reply 153 | March 3, 2018 1:41 PM |
I love Metcalf (and really loved her in DOLLS HOUSE PT 2), but I am voting for Janney.
| by Anonymous | reply 154 | March 3, 2018 1:58 PM |
Are you a member of the Academy, r154?
| by Anonymous | reply 155 | March 3, 2018 2:19 PM |
I want Manville to pull a Marcia Gay Harden and shit all over R152's linens.
| by Anonymous | reply 156 | March 3, 2018 3:45 PM |
Not going to happen, r156.
| by Anonymous | reply 157 | March 3, 2018 3:52 PM |
Janney is too damn thirsty!
| by Anonymous | reply 159 | March 3, 2018 3:57 PM |
You're disgusting, R160. Only very sad people continue to use that slur in that way. I trust you are sad.
| by Anonymous | reply 161 | March 3, 2018 4:00 PM |
Oh, take the board out of your ass, r161.
| by Anonymous | reply 162 | March 3, 2018 4:02 PM |
R161 has extra pus and feces from its dilation session this morning.
| by Anonymous | reply 163 | March 3, 2018 4:15 PM |
I would love to see a stage fight between Allison Janney and Laurie Metcalf. Ideally, Metcalf wins the Oscar and Janney charges her onstage, tries to rip the award from her hands, and the two hags end up rolling around onstage in an all out catfight.
| by Anonymous | reply 164 | March 3, 2018 11:19 PM |
r164, you really do want to see that? That sounds really stupid.
| by Anonymous | reply 165 | March 3, 2018 11:28 PM |
Janney's is a one-note performance where she stands around talking in a droll monotone and chain-smoking.
Metcalf plays a milder version of her Jackie role on "Roseanna" (can she do anything else?). And she isn't in the film much.
| by Anonymous | reply 166 | March 3, 2018 11:36 PM |
Hence why Manville will slip in for the win, R166. Don't underestimate the British contingent.
| by Anonymous | reply 167 | March 3, 2018 11:37 PM |
Janney is a terrific actress, but I, TONYA was a movie of cartoon caricatures. Chain smoking with an oxygen tube doesn't fine acting make. I thought the movie was garbage.
Metcalf did a beautiful job.
| by Anonymous | reply 169 | March 3, 2018 11:50 PM |
I meant prolix in the sense of the same notes, or topics, literally, being introduced again and again and no new insight is given or gained. Just sayin'
| by Anonymous | reply 170 | March 4, 2018 12:13 AM |
Janney just completed the trifecta...Golden Globe, SAG and Independent Spirit, add in Bafta and the Oscar is all but engraved.
| by Anonymous | reply 171 | March 4, 2018 12:29 AM |
Jesus, who has a boner for the tranny @ r168?
| by Anonymous | reply 172 | March 4, 2018 12:37 AM |
Allison Janney seems intellectually stupid and biz savvy.
Someone who worked with Metcalf on Broadway said she wasn't warm.
| by Anonymous | reply 173 | March 4, 2018 12:58 AM |
Ladybird sucks, so why should we expect anyone from it to win?
| by Anonymous | reply 174 | March 4, 2018 1:01 AM |
Gosh what an intelligent and enlightened set of comments, even by DL standards. sigh.
Metcalf deserves the award 100 times over but probably won't win. Look for Janney or a Marcia Gay-style surprise from Manville, who can then share photo honors with her (ghastly) ex-husband. Spencer and Blige can look on politely but that's OK since Spencer is now clearly going to be nominated every year. It's part of the new unwritten Hollywood contract.
| by Anonymous | reply 175 | March 4, 2018 1:13 AM |
At least Metcalf won the Tony last year, whereas Janney couldn't even scrape a nomination.
| by Anonymous | reply 176 | March 4, 2018 1:16 AM |
Janney was bad in Six Degrees, but it was across the board terrible.
"Manville, who can then share photo honors with her (ghastly) ex-husband."--r175
Oh, let's hope Manville wins! Think of the pictures!
| by Anonymous | reply 177 | March 4, 2018 1:34 AM |
[quote]At least Metcalf won the Tony last year, whereas Janney couldn't even scrape a nomination.
Allison already had a Tony, Dear.
| by Anonymous | reply 178 | March 4, 2018 1:54 AM |
Oh, so she does. Two, actually. Good for her. Well, whichever of them wins will only be a Grammy away from an EGOT.
| by Anonymous | reply 179 | March 4, 2018 1:57 AM |
[quote] Allison already had a Tony, Dear.
NO she doesn't, she only has two nominations. But lost both times
| by Anonymous | reply 180 | March 4, 2018 1:59 AM |
Oops! You're right, R180. I was looking at the Outer Critics Circle Awards on her Wiki. My bad.
Well, she as two Outer Critics Circle Awards, so there's that...
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 181 | March 4, 2018 2:04 AM |
Janney just won the Independent Spirit Award so looks like Metcalf's dream is over.
| by Anonymous | reply 184 | March 4, 2018 3:59 AM |
Janney will win (I think). But it's the only surprise category.
| by Anonymous | reply 185 | March 4, 2018 4:00 AM |
Don't worry, Allison, I'll snip Laurie's strap.
| by Anonymous | reply 186 | March 4, 2018 6:19 AM |
5 hours until you must refer to her as Academy Award Winner Allison Janney.
| by Anonymous | reply 187 | March 4, 2018 7:40 PM |
Janney has won the globe, SAG , bafta and indie spirit award. The Oscar is hers. You don’t bet against that kind of momentum. This , plus all her campaigning, will put her over the top.
| by Anonymous | reply 188 | March 4, 2018 8:34 PM |
Let’s not forget the critics choice award.
| by Anonymous | reply 189 | March 4, 2018 8:36 PM |
Such a shame. She was terrific but Laurie was nonpareil (look it up, dudes).
| by Anonymous | reply 190 | March 4, 2018 8:48 PM |
Funny that Janney doesn't have a Tony.
| by Anonymous | reply 191 | March 4, 2018 8:51 PM |
Allison will win, Laurie SHOULD win.
| by Anonymous | reply 192 | March 4, 2018 8:53 PM |
Mary J Blige certainly has the best name --- it's so much fun simply to SAY .... like liquid .... and, no, I am not stoned LOL
| by Anonymous | reply 193 | March 4, 2018 9:15 PM |
r190, please don't behave as if you're smarter. You're not.
| by Anonymous | reply 194 | March 4, 2018 10:18 PM |
Allison Janney: ham, whore, and soon-to-be Oscar winner.
| by Anonymous | reply 195 | March 4, 2018 10:20 PM |
I, TONYA was a cartoon with over the top caricature acting. Grating.
| by Anonymous | reply 196 | March 4, 2018 10:30 PM |
It was an overlong SNL sketch.
| by Anonymous | reply 197 | March 4, 2018 10:30 PM |
Janney is wearing red, the traditional color of a whore.
| by Anonymous | reply 198 | March 4, 2018 11:24 PM |
I think they are both tremendous! Metcalf is starring in an Edward Albee play on Broadway with the divine Glenda Jackson. Previews start March 10. That is probably a greater thrill than winning a silly statue. Janney will take it because she mounted an impressive come-back after losing two houses and most of her fortune from the WW due to bad investments and zero job offers. It seems to be her year. I like a scrappy bitch who triumphs after getting knocked on her ass.
| by Anonymous | reply 199 | March 4, 2018 11:36 PM |
[quote]Previews start March 10.
Previews already started this past week.
| by Anonymous | reply 200 | March 4, 2018 11:37 PM |
Duly noted, r200. I really want to see this.
| by Anonymous | reply 201 | March 4, 2018 11:41 PM |
Seeing it. Can't wait. Glenda would mock Laurie for being at the Oscars.
| by Anonymous | reply 202 | March 4, 2018 11:45 PM |
I didn't know Janney is broke, tell me more!
| by Anonymous | reply 203 | March 4, 2018 11:46 PM |
[post redacted because linking to dailymail.co.uk clearly indicates that the poster is either a troll or an idiot (probably both, honestly.) Our advice is that you just ignore this poster but whatever you do, don't click on any link to this putrid rag.]
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 204 | March 4, 2018 11:48 PM |
Janney must be terrible with money. She should be raking it in with that horrid Mom show, which is already in syndication.
| by Anonymous | reply 205 | March 4, 2018 11:54 PM |
Yes, for all of Frances McDormand's affectations towards not caring—if she truly didn't care she would pull a Glenda, who didn't attend for either of her Best Actress wins.
| by Anonymous | reply 206 | March 4, 2018 11:55 PM |
[quote]Such a shame. She was terrific but Laurie was nonpareil (look it up, dudes).
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 207 | March 5, 2018 12:53 AM |
Laurie Metcalf, post-Oscar loss:
"When Metcalf swung by a little while [after the announcement of the Best Supporting Actress category], she was over it. She flew in today from New York, where she is starring in Three Tall Women on Broadway, after doing two shows yesterday. While she was at the bar getting a drink, Vanity Fair asked if she enjoyed the awards process. 'No, it’s not fun,' she said. 'Going on morning talk shows. All of that—but now it's finally over.' By then she had a glass of red wine in her hands."
No BS with this one. I adore her.
| by Anonymous | reply 208 | March 5, 2018 5:25 AM |